CAREER: Probabilistic Risk Evaluation for Safety-Critical Intelligent Autonomy
Lead PI:
Ding Zhao
Abstract

Innovations driven by recent progress in artificial intelligence (AI) have demonstrated human-competitive performance. However, as research expands to safety-critical applications, such as autonomous vehicles and healthcare treatment, the question of their safety becomes a bottleneck for the transition from theories to practice. Safety-critical autonomy must go through a rigorous evaluation before massive deployment. They are unique in the sense that failures may cause serious consequences, thus requiring an extremely low failure rate. This means that test results under naturalistic conditions are extremely imbalanced - with the failure cases being rare. The rarity, together with the complex AI structures, poses a huge challenge to design effective evaluation methods that cannot be adequately addressed by conventional methods.

This proposal aims to understand the fundamental challenges in assessing the risk of safety-critical AI autonomy and puts forward new theories and practical tools to develop certifiable, implementable, and efficient evaluation procedures. The specific aims of this research are to develop evaluation methods for three types of AI autonomy that cover a broad array of real-world applications: deep learning systems, reinforcement learning systems, and sophisticated systems comprising sub-modules, and validate them with the sensing and decision-making systems of real-world autonomous systems. This research lays the foundation for the PI?s long-term career goal to safely deploy AI in the physical world, opens up a new cross-cutting area to develop rigorous and efficient evaluation methods, addresses the urgent societal concern with the upcoming massive deployment of AI autonomy, and train a diverse, globally competitive workforce through education at all levels.
 

Ding Zhao
Ding Zhao is the Dean's Early Career Fellow Associate Professor of Mechanical Engineering at Carnegie Mellon University. He directs the CMU Safe AI Lab, where his research focuses on large scale deployment of intelligent autonomy, encompassing generalizability, safety, physical embodiment, as well as considerations of privacy, equity, and sustainability. His work spans self-driving cars, assistant robots, autonomous surgical robots, and co-designing smart cities/buildings/infrastructure with autonomy. He has actively collaborated with world-renowned industrial partners, including Google DeepMind, Microsoft, IBM, Amazon, Ford, Uber, Bosch, Toyota, Rolls-Royce, Cleveland Clinic and Mayo Clinic. He also works with governments to establish critical standards and infrastructure for intelligent autonomy in the USA and Rwanda. From 2022 to 2023, he worked with the robotic team at Google Deepmind as a visiting researcher. His research outputs have been adopted by industry and third-party agencies. Ding Zhao has received numerous awards, including IEEE George N. Saridis Best Transactions Paper Award, National Science Foundation CAREER Award, MIT Technology Review 35 under 35 Award in China, Struminger Teaching Award, George Tallman Ladd Research Award, Ford University Collaboration Award, Qualcomm Innovation Award, Carnegie-Bosch Research Award, and many other industrial awards. His work has received attention from influential media outlets such as The New York Times, TIME, Telegraph, and Wired.
Performance Period: 06/01/2021 - 05/31/2026
Institution: Carnegie Mellon University
Award Number: 2047454